Arizona State
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 86.9492Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 11-12 215 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 7-14 221 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 23- 9 224 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 19-16 228 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 14-16 305 H Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 17- 7 308 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 19-12 311 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 14- 8 314 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 16-20 317 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 10-11 321 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 8-14 329 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 8-14 404 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 17-10 411 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 19-11 415 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 6-19 418 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 15- 8 425 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 5-19 430 N Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 7-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Oregon 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.80
215 H Denver 7-14 -7 -5 -1.53
221 H Lindenwood 23- 9 14 11 + 2.81
224 H Marquette 19-16 3 2 0.68
228 H Southern California 14-16 -2 2 - -3.79
305 H Niagara 17- 7 10 10 0.03
308 H Bucknell 19-12 7 4 + 2.71
311 H Akron 14- 8 6 8 -1.93
314 A Mercer 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.10
317 A Navy 10-11 -1 -7 +++ 6.45
321 A Stanford 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.34
329 H Florida 8-14 -6 -5 -0.90
404 A Cincinnati 17-10 7 3 ++ 4.38
411 H UC Davis 19-11 8 4 ++ 4.20
415 A Stony Brook 6-19 -13 -8 -- -4.87
418 A San Diego State 15- 8 7 6 1.02
425 A Colorado 5-19 -14 -8 -- -5.67
430 N Colorado 7-13 -6 -7 0.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Oregon 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.80 314 A Mercer 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.10 415 A Stony Brook 6-19 -13 -8 -- -4.87 425 A Colorado 5-19 -14 -8 -- -5.67 228 H Southern California 14-16 -2 2 - -3.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Navy 10-11 -1 -7 +++ 6.45 321 A Stanford 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.34 404 A Cincinnati 17-10 7 3 ++ 4.38 411 H UC Davis 19-11 8 4 ++ 4.20 221 H Lindenwood 23- 9 14 11 + 2.81 308 H Bucknell 19-12 7 4 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 11-12 -18.12 22.05 1.37 0.96 -8.06
0 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 7-14 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 0.96 -3.60
0 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 23- 9 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 0.96 30.85
0 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 19-16 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 0.96 47.93
0 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 14-16 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 0.96 -7.09
0 H Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 17- 7 -21.55 18.62 -1.37 0.96 33.20
0 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 19-12 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 0.96 44.12
0 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 14- 8 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 0.96 37.13
0 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 16-20 -14.42 25.75 1.37 0.96 -6.28
0 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 10-11 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.96 -2.65
0 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 8-14 -3.98 36.19 1.37 0.96 -1.26
0 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 8-14 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 0.96 -3.78
0 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 17-10 -16.93 23.23 1.37 0.96 47.35
0 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 19-11 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 0.96 45.08
0 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 6-19 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.96 -2.32
0 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 15- 8 -20.30 19.87 1.37 0.96 40.88
0 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 5-19 -5.99 34.18 1.37 0.96 -2.22
0 N Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 7-13 -5.99 34.18 -0.00 0.96 -2.88
------
286.41
|
winning pts = 326.5522 losing points = -40.1452
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------